“Oh No!”

Oh no! (Mere!)
This is the word on the cover of the latest issue of The Economist, in fact, it is a foul language with a smell of excrement. The background of the cover is a billboard at a Paris subway station, and the following is a subtle theme: “France is in an unknown state
French President Macron’s heart is bleeding.
The crisis came at a bad time.
On December 7th, 50 foreign leaders will come to France to celebrate the reopening of Notre Dame Cathedral, which was supposed to be Macron’s shining moment. Unfortunately, at this time, France was in a deep crisis, and the Barnier government, which had been in power for less than 100 days, collapsed, becoming the shortest serving prime minister in modern France.
Why is that?
The key is still Macron.
This year’s European Parliament elections saw a big victory for the far right. The stimulated Makron, regardless of the early parliamentary election, gambled heavily on the crisis awareness of the French and their separation from the far right.
Who knows, everything is exactly the opposite.
The election result is divided into three parts, with more far right votes. Macron was the biggest loser, as the centrist alliance he relied on lost its position as the largest party.
A chaotic and impulsive Macron was cursed to death.
Without any other options, Macron appointed the centrist Banier as prime minister. But the Prime Minister had not yet served for 100 days when he angered both the far right and the far left over the money issue, and Barnier was ousted from power.

Macron sat face to face with the ousted Barnier, feeling a bit of ‘speechless, only shedding tears’.
This European leader is currently facing the most difficult moment.
I saw that the headline of a CNN article was: “As France plunges into political quagmire, Macron must be blaming himself
What self blame?
I blame myself for being too impulsive and willful, and in the end, I dug a big hole for myself, France, and Europe.
The German newspaper Berliner Zeitung wrote, “Today’s France is in ruins. The only way out of this profound political crisis is for those in charge to step down: Macron must resign and leave his position to newcomers
Macron is definitely not willing to leave, his term will end in 2027. But the irreconcilable contradiction between the left and right is causing endless quarrels in the French political arena.
The next two years, without a doubt, will be France’s’ garbage time ‘, and Macron will become a completely lame duck.
Impulsiveness is the devil.
There have been too many examples recently.
South Korea’s emergency martial law ultimately turned into a 6-hour farce, and Yoon Seok yeol dug himself a big hole. Similar to the big hole, there was also Cameron, who agreed to the Brexit referendum in the past, but eventually resigned with tears and a bow.
Macron is also one of them.
The Italian Evening Post sarcastically stated that in his New Year’s speech, Macron also declared that 2024 “will be a great year for France,” but now, facing chaos in France, “can this still hold up for a president who advocates for a strong Europe

France’s Macron is in dire straits, and Germany’s Scholz is also a mess.
The ruling traffic light alliance has disintegrated, and Scholz has to announce new elections in Germany. What will be the election result? It cannot be ruled out that Scholz was kicked out. Of course, some inexperienced Green Party politicians will also lose their power.
France and Germany are the two major engines in Europe. But now, they are also facing a shutdown state.
Of course, looking around the world, especially in the West, similar scenes are everywhere.
Don’t say anything about the United States.
Trump is about to take office and is preparing to make a big splash. Joe Biden pardons his son and is also in his old age. The rule of law in the United States, the promises of American politicians, make the world laugh.
Shigeru Ishiba in Japan is also facing numerous crises, and it is uncertain whether he will step down soon. What is more embarrassing is Trump’s attitude. He refused to visit Ishiba and said that it was not convenient to receive foreign leaders before he came to power. But Ishiba watched President Javier Milei of Argentina and Prime Minister Trudeau of Canada go to the Sea Lake Manor one by one.
Trudeau’s days are not much better. There is a lot of criticism in China, and Trump continues to use big sticks abroad. Finally, with a face full of embarrassment, he went to see Trump, but Trump came up with a suggestion: I suggest you become the governor of the 51st state in the United States… at least Canada is also a country, can this be a joke?
Then there are France and Germany.
The once ambitious little horse brother is now enduring “garbage time”.
Why is that?
My personal rough opinion.

One is personality.
Leaders have strong personalities and believe that they hold great power and that fate belongs to them. Who knew, when the three board axe came down, everything revealed its true form.
Yin Xiyue is like this, Macron is like this, Cameron is like this, and the familiar Trump is also like this.
Impulsiveness is the devil, and stubbornness brings trouble.
But politicians with personalities can never restrain their impulses.

The second is the system.
The Western system, whether presidential, parliamentary, or hybrid, has its own reasons for existence.
But up to today, the drawbacks are also very obvious.
Americans will certainly reflect on what has happened to the two party system in the future? Why did Trump come to power twice? Why can so many extreme policies be introduced?
Specifically in Europe, there is a separation of powers and a division of powers between the left and the right, which is indeed lively and contentious. Many urgent livelihood issues have been resolved in political struggles. Many major policy issues were ultimately left unresolved. The debt platform is getting higher and higher, and the streets are becoming more and more chaotic.
Macron wanted to make a big deal, but by a twist of fate, he was powerless to turn things around. In the end, he became a lame duck and even made Trump laugh at him.

Let’s not talk about three, let’s talk about the prospects.
On this side of the Atlantic, Germany and France are currently experiencing a political shutdown; On the other side of the Atlantic, Trump has returned and is gearing up.
So, I always feel that The Economist’s’ bad ‘is just a word that is too complicated.
France is in an unknown situation. The Germans are struggling to find a way out. The Japanese are also worried. The Americans are also expected to be anxious. In the next four years, I don’t know what will be the thrilling and climax.
Alas, a drama must start from the prologue, but the prologue is not yet the climax!

Related Posts