Alright, here’s the question. The above are the demands of these big brothers. They all have ulterior motives.
So, if you are HTS, and if you really want to become a regular and terrorist separatist regime, among so many big brothers, Türkiye, Israel, the United States, Russia, Iran Who do you choose?
Anyway, you definitely wouldn’t choose Israel. Other big brothers just want to use you, and Israel wants your life!

The Assad regime has fallen and Syria has collapsed, but the Syrian war has only just begun, entering a comprehensive era of warlord chaos. Various forces and their big brothers behind it will all come into play
And Israel finally couldn’t resist taking action! From behind the scenes to on stage, openly invading Syria!
With Israel’s official entry, terrorist organizations will also face a peak showdown.

As I mentioned last time, many people only have the mindset of elementary school students watching TV dramas. Simply distinguishing between good and bad people can roughly understand Journey to the West, but they cannot understand the slightly more complex Romance of the Three Kingdoms.

But Syria is far more complex than Romance of the Three Kingdoms. It’s not about three factions, it’s about the infighting between more than ten factions, it’s about countless gangs fighting for territory, and the complexity behind it.

Some people blindfolded and shouted that since Assad has fallen, the United States must have won.
What they didn’t know was that just after the Sham Liberation Organization, also known as HTS, took control of Damascus, they immediately attacked the Kurdish armed forces supported by the United States.
Xinhua reported that the Syrian opposition armed forces supported by Türkiye and Kurdish armed forces supported by the United States had a fierce battle in the city of Mambiji in the north of Syria, near the border with Türkiye!

The Assad regime is anti American, but do you think HTS is pro American and an ally of the United States?
Do you think Russia has lost? No one can say for sure about the future situation, because the terrorist organizations currently controlling Syria have no strategy, no targets, and often carry out indiscriminate attacks.
The latest news is:
After taking Damascus, HTS did not attack Russia’s bases in Syria, and it is now possible to reach an agreement with Russia to continue holding naval bases in Syria.

So there is also a possibility that Syria only changed its regime, and as a result, the new regime re cooperated with Russia and Iran, even becoming more anti American and more difficult to deal with than Assad.

After the outbreak of the Syrian War, the United States and the West were overjoyed and almost supported all anti-government rebels.
On one side is the Kurdish armed forces, a separatist force in Syria, which the United States has supported to become a separatist force and have taken over the resource rich oil fields in northwest Syria;
On one side are various rebel groups based on Al Qaeda and ISIS, occupying mountains and kings in various parts of Syria.
The above forces are attacking both the Assad government and each other internally.

Around 2012, the situation changed as the United States and the West raised tigers as a threat, and the various terrorist forces they supported began indiscriminate attacks, especially those in Europe.
At first, the United States held its nose and endured until November 2015, when a terrorist organization planned the Paris Theatre incident, which resulted in 132 deaths and over 300 injuries on that day.
Seeing this scene, the West was stunned, and the United States quickly remembered its fear of being dominated by 9/11. It realized that if ISIS was allowed to become stronger and bigger, they would one day attack the mainland of the United States.

Among the various forces supported by the United States, the Kurdish armed forces still have a basic logic, that is, they want to split from Syria and establish their own country. They want to do both in Syria and Türkiye.
But terrorist organizations like IS have no logic and carry out indiscriminate attacks because they are fanatical extremists who believe that everyone is a heretic
So since 2015, many countries such as Europe and the United States have adjusted their goals, prioritizing the fight against ISIS over the fight against Assad, and including a large number of self funded organizations on the list of terrorist organizations, including HTS.

Of course, after HTS captured Damascus this time, they immediately released a message saying that they had changed and had to resign from their previous terrorist organization. They wanted to establish a legitimate regime and hoped to cooperate with countries around the world.
It is precisely for this reason that HTS is currently not attacking Russian military bases.
But he said it’s not true, isn’t it? It’s not that simple.

Extreme religious sects are the foundation of HTS, and following extreme doctrines is the soil they grew up in, not so easily fragmented.
So in the future, there are two possibilities.
The first possibility is that HTS will continue to use the tactics of terrorist organizations and carry out indiscriminate attacks.
If that’s the case, as I mentioned last time, Europe will be in a state of collapse and soon they will return to the state around 2015, being attacked by terrorist forces every day.
And this time the formation is even bigger than last time!
Because Syria is the closest place in the Middle East to Europe!

And Israel is also not doing well because it is adjacent to Syria and currently occupies the Golan Heights in Syria.
However, Israel started with terrorist attacks and is the founder of global terrorist organizations. When the time comes, it will be exciting and the pinnacle of global terrorist organization confrontation.

The second possibility is that HTS has reformed and indeed wants to cut ties with terrorists and become a legitimate regime recognized by the United Nations.
If HTS wants to do this, it would be even more exciting!

Why did the Assad regime fall? And there’s almost no resistance?
Because it’s simply impossible, Assad said he didn’t want to be this broken president for a long time. In fact, I was the biggest winner in this war, and now I have finally resigned.
In 2023, the Assad government’s fiscal revenue is a pitiful 800 million US dollars, equivalent to 5.7 billion Chinese yuan.
What is this concept?

Let me put it this way, any county in China has a higher fiscal revenue than Syria, such as Rudong County, which has a fiscal revenue of 7.1 billion yuan in 2023.
Assad is at least a president, not as good as a county mayor.
The key is not only the low fiscal revenue, but also the much more difficult days than the county mayor. The country is divided, and dozens of anti separatist forces are fighting every day. They cannot maintain at least 300000 troops and cannot provide military pay.
All major powers are eyeing it with covetousness

The internal forces are complex. There are military bases in Iran, Russia and the United States, and Türkiye and Israel occupy part of their territory.
Syria has mines and oil fields, but all resource areas are not under its control. The rich mining areas have been occupied by Kurdish armed forces, and these people earn a lot of money every day by selling oil. Assad can only watch helplessly.
The key is that the Kurdish armed forces are backed by the United States, and this thigh is too thick. It’s really impossible to win.

Assad said that I originally studied medicine in Europe and wanted to be a doctor, but I don’t even want to be a president.
It’s all my brother’s fault for the car accident. I had no choice but to take on this mess. I’ve been working on it for over a decade and it’s driving me crazy.
Now that I have finally resigned, this broken president will do whatever he likes. Although I cannot do it well, I do not believe that you can do it well.

So now the question is, can Assad do it well? If HTS wants to become a legitimate regime, can he do it well?
Firstly, as a small country, especially at the most critical geopolitical node in the Middle East, Syria must acknowledge its big brother. So, who should we acknowledge?
It seems like every big brother has ulterior motives!

Türkiye’s demand is that the HTS attack Kurdish forces, because Kurdish is not only a separatist force in Syria, but also a separatist force in Türkiye.
On this demand, their interests are aligned, but Erdogan should be cunning and deceitful, which is not a fuel-efficient lamp.
In 2018, Türkiye occupied a part of the territory of Syria. Now, of course, it is impossible to spit it out. Türkiye has to fish in troubled waters to win more territory this time.

Moreover, Türkiye will even take full control of Syria and bring it into its sphere of influence, because Erdogan’s dream is to become the shoulder of the Arab world.
Erdogan wants to use Syria as his gateway into the Middle East.

What about Israel’s demands?
Israel’s demands are even more outrageous!
The Golan Heights belong to Syria and have a very important strategic position, located between Lebanon, Syria, Israel, and Jordan, serving as a crossroads in the Middle East.
This place is really crucial!

The Golan Heights have a towering terrain, especially the Black Gate Mountain, which reaches an altitude of over 2800 meters. As long as you get here, you can form a diving attack posture against other countries, with strong military offensive and defensive capabilities.
The benefits are not limited to that. The Golan Heights control the water source of the Jordan River and provide freshwater resources for surrounding countries, which is extremely valuable for the Middle East region where water resources are scarce.
Moreover, the Golan Heights are rich in natural resources, including abundant freshwater and oil resources.
So Israel has always occupied two-thirds of the Golan Heights.

As long as Israel occupies the Golan Heights, Syria will be completely open and only 60 kilometers away from Damascus, which means there is no security at all. The Israeli army can reach the Syrian capital in minutes.
And this time Israel’s appetite has grown, not just to take over the Golan Heights, but to continuously erode Syrian territory based on the Golan Heights

This is Israel’s demand, what about the United States?
The United States says Israel is my father, I listen to Israel.

Russia spoke up, saying that my demands are simple. I have no territorial claims, I just want to keep my military base, pay for it, and help you suppress bandits.
Iran has also spoken up. Iran said my demands are very simple. Just let me handle the logistics and deliver the goods to Hezbollah. I also need to help you suppress bandits
Alright, here’s the question. The above are the demands of these big brothers.

So, if you are HTS, if you really want to become a regular and terrorist separatist regime, among so many big brothers, Türkiye, Israel, the United States, Russia, Iran Who do you choose?
Anyway, you definitely wouldn’t choose Israel. Other big brothers just want to use you, while Israel directly wants your life!

What about Dongda?
Dongda said that I never interfere in the internal affairs of other countries, nor do I have any political demands. I don’t want bases or anything like that. I only help these countries build bridges, roads, infrastructure, and industrialization. If you truly want to break away from terrorist organizations and are willing to cut ties with them, after thinking it through, we can talk about it.
Of course, it’s not just about cutting, I have to judge by their words and actions.
Upon hearing these words, HTS’s tears were about to fall. Is there such a good thing?
So, don’t be surprised if one day China and Syria resume cooperation.

Of course, this is just a possibility, and no one can say for sure about the future because HTS originated from a terrorist organization, so there is no record. No one knows what it will do in the future, even the CIA doesn’t know.
But in the future, Syria will inevitably fall into the chaos of warlord wars. The whole country will be in chaos, and the underworld will seize territory everywhere. Even if Türkiye has funded the HTS and other rebels at the same time, they will fight internally, because they will inevitably share the spoils unevenly

So there are two possibilities.
The first possibility is that HTS has no choice but to continue with the tactics of terrorist organizations, launching indiscriminate attacks on the United States and the West, becoming a source of turmoil in the Middle East and even the world.
If that’s the case, Europe will once again be plunged into endless explosions and murders.
This is very likely, especially between the HTS and Kurdish armed forces, there will inevitably be a fierce war. Behind both sides, there are Türkiye and the United States. Let them bite the dog.
When the battle starts, it’s like chickens pecking at each other, and it won’t be over for a while.
And at that time, as a terrorist organization, HTS will have to face off against Israel at its peak, which is really exciting, and it truly lives up to the saying: Evil people have their own evil grinding.

The second possibility is that HTS really wants to become a regular and cut ties with terrorists.
If that’s the case, it would be wonderful. If you were HTS, since you want to become a country, how could you possibly start by humiliating your country and giving Israel the most strategically significant territory in the south?
From the beginning, if the country is not upright, it cannot be dealt with.

In such a situation, Syria is likely to turn back to Russia and Iran, once again making Israel its core enemy.
This possibility is very high, because it is really clear who the enemy of Syria is.

The United States is going to support Kurdish armed groups and take away Syria’s most resource rich northern territory;
Israel is going to end up occupying the strategically important southern territories of Syria on its own;
Both sides are risking Syria’s life!
How would HTS choose the lesser of the two harms?

HTS said that I might as well continue to cooperate with Iran and Russia. It would be better for me to listen to Türkiye than to be killed by the United States and Israel. Besides, I am still on the blacklist of the United States.
So, the war in Syria has just begun, maybe the United States took away an Assad, and now there is a more difficult and powerful HTS to deal with!

What should we do then?
Of course, we can rest assured and wait for the results. Let them go fight and bite the dog.
Now a bunch of big V’s are saying that the United States has won, and nonsense is saying that China has suffered a major setback.
This is really inexplicable. Why did Nima lose after eating a melon? It’s none of my business?

China’s investment in Syria is not even one hundred million US dollars, which is the smallest compared to other countries. The bilateral trade volume is only 350 million US dollars, barely accounting for 0.5% of our total. How could we lose?
How did the United States win?

As I mentioned yesterday, some people only understand the world through the mindset of elementary school students watching TV dramas. In their eyes, there are only good people and bad people in this world.
Now seeing Dongxing and Hongxing fighting on the street, with flames on both sides, they are dizzy and don’t know who is good and who is bad
The exciting drama has just begun!