
On November 13, US time, Mr. Trump announced on the “Real Social” platform that he would nominate Florida Representative and famous MAGA junior general Matt Gates as the new Attorney General.
This news has exploded among all Democratic and some Republican members.
Matt Gates is not only suspected of having sexual relations with a underage girl, but also took photos and videos. He even showed the video in public during a meeting, which shocked his colleagues present: it’s not a buddy, at least you can pretend.
Such a person would only serve in other positions, but instead become the Attorney General. If the nomination is ultimately approved, the United States will no longer talk about the rule of law.
In addition to Matt Gates, there are many wonderful candidates in Mr. Trump’s cabinet, including those who were only platoon leaders when they joined the army and were nominated as defense secretary to command a large group of senior generals; A well-known anti vaccine activist has been nominated as the Minister of Health to manage doctors who support vaccines.
With so many unreasonable nominations, is it possible that Mr. Trump is really confused? Of course not. Seemingly crazy, in fact, his thinking is very clear. Cabinet candidates are mainly divided into three types: defectors, establishment supporters, and MAGA supporters. The three factions are respectively in charge of departments with different weights.
It is necessary to clarify that this refers to the Cabinet, and Musk’s government efficiency department clearly does not belong to the Cabinet, nor do direct positions such as White House Chief of Staff.
Let’s start with the defectors.
01
The defectors are people who have defected from the Democratic Party.
In the propaganda of the Democratic media, it seems that only Republicans have defected to support Harris, and no Democrats have defected to support Mr. Trump, especially Liz Cheney, the former top Republican who fell out with Mr. Trump, has been repeatedly used as an example.
However, in fact, many Democrats defected to Mr. Trump. This time, two people won the cabinet positions: Toulsi Gabad and Robert Kennedy Jr., both of whom had defected in 2024.
Mr. Trump was able to take all the credit from the swing state, so the former got the “Director of National Intelligence”, and the latter led the Ministry of Health.
The Director of National Intelligence is the highest intelligence official in name, and even the Director of the CIA has to report to her, but in reality, the CIA and other intelligence agencies do not pay much attention to the Director.
In 2009, Dennis Blair, who was then the Director of National Intelligence, attempted to dispatch intelligence officers to US embassies abroad. This job had always been for the CIA, which was equivalent to stealing the CIA’s job.
CIA Director Panetta directly issued a document requesting subordinate agencies not to cooperate with all of Dennis’ requests. Angry Dennis sent the report to the White House, and after careful consideration, Obama still sided with the CIA.
The authority of the “Director of National Intelligence” has been greatly undermined, and its actual function thereafter is only intelligence organization.
There are 17 intelligence agencies, big and small, in the United States that receive countless pieces of intelligence every day. It’s impossible to show all of it to the president, as it would require tens of thousands of words that the president wouldn’t be able to finish reading in the morning.
So the ‘Director of National Intelligence’ compiled a PTT ‘Daily Intelligence Brief’ for the President to review, keeping valuable information and deleting worthless ones. Additionally, they provided intelligence advice and couldn’t do anything else.
It is evident that this is a semi nominal position.
Tursi Gabad comes from the deep blue region of Hawaii, but she has always portrayed herself as a centrist and friendly to Russia and Syria, so she has some supporters of the centrist camp.
In 2019, Hillary publicly criticized her for being “pro Russian”.
Her strength is not enough, she has few fans outside of Hawaii, and Mr. Trump cannot get the electoral votes in Hawaii, which is of little significance for Mr. Trump to win. A half empty position is the limit.
Relatively speaking, Robert Kennedy Jr. had much stronger abilities, after all, he came from the Kennedy family and his name was much louder than Tursey’s. He had been helping the poor in lawsuits for many years and had accumulated a lot of popularity.
He believes that the healthcare system in the United States has been controlled by large corporations, and various drugs and vaccines are revenue generating tools for interest groups, standing in opposition to medical and other interest groups; We also oppose foreign wars such as the invasion of Iraq, support Ukraine, and fossil fuels, standing in opposition to military and traditional energy groups.
The medical group mainly supports the Democratic Party, and the military industry group mainly supports the Republican Party. He is opposed to both of them, so the probability of supporting his people’s congress is the centrist, which is exactly what Mr. Trump wants.
When he announced to participate in the presidential election last year, he had about 5% of the support rate. When the president was hopeless, this figure was enough to become a troublemaker. If Mr. Trump wanted to incorporate him, it would be impossible not to give him a real power post.
The Minister of Health holds a position of real power, which is in line with his contributions.
Due to his opposition to all vaccines, after the news of his nomination as Minister of Health came out, vaccine related stocks first fell as a sign of respect. It may seem like the industry is in mourning, but it’s not that exaggerated. After he took office, at most some vaccine projects were suspended, making it difficult to make more big moves.
Don’t forget, his uncle and former president John F. Kennedy had a lesson from the past, and today’s healthcare industry is the largest interest group in the United States, deeply tied to Wall Street.
If you dare to touch the cake of the medical group, you can either step down or ride in a convertible like his uncle. Wishing him good luck.
Next is the MAGA faction.
02
At present, MAGA’s representatives in the new cabinet include Justice Secretary nominee Matt Gates, Homeland Security Secretary nominee Kristi Nome, UN Representative nominee Stefanik, and Defense Secretary nominee Hegesse.
Among the four people, the lightest one is Stefanik, who is very interesting.
Born in 1982, she was a local tyrant of New York State. In 2014, she became a member of the House of Representatives of New York State with the support of her family. Ideologically, she was an iron MAGA. In 2019, when Mr. Trump was impeached for the first time, she voted against it.
After the 2020 general election, she refused to recognize Joe Biden’s victory and took the lead in submitting a petition to the Supreme Court to demand the overthrow of the election results. Mr. Trump admired her very much and once considered her as the vice presidential candidate.
But later it didn’t work, the specific reason is unknown. There is a view that it is due to opposition from some Jewish financiers.
Stefanik was anti Semitic before 2019, but after 2020, he suddenly turned 180 degrees and became extremely pro Semitic. At the end of 2023, the presidents of Harvard and Penn were forced to resign due to insufficient support for Israel.
Throughout the entire process, Stefanik’s extreme pressure played an important role. She harshly scolded several principals during the hearing, but the client felt that she was a two faced person and needed further investigation.
Now Mr. Trump has given her the post of representative to the United Nations. I think we all know that she will vigorously defend Israel at the United Nations and form the “second general of Hem Ha” with Danny Danon, Israel’s representative to the United Nations.
If the performance is satisfactory to Jin Zhu and Mr. Trump, they may be promoted later.
The nominee for Secretary of Defense, Pete Haggis, was a platoon leader during his military service and later worked as a host on Fox after retiring.
He is also an iron MAGA. He does not recognize Joe Biden’s victory, defends the “Capitol Hill Uprising”, and does not recognize the existence of viruses and bacteria. When the epidemic occurred, the US government urged everyone to wash their hands frequently. Peter said he had not washed his hands in ten years.
After all, viruses don’t exist, why wash your hands. Mr. Trump’s greatest advantage is loyalty, absolute loyalty.
But after the news of his nomination came out, many people were puzzled. The military is very concerned about seniority and rank. As a platoon leader, can you command those generals who carry stars on their shoulders?
However, Haigese served as an executive director for the NGO “Caring for American Veterans” for many years, and his brother also worked there. This organization is supported by the Koch brothers, one of the largest donors to the Republican Party.
From this perspective, Koch should be quite happy.
The Attorney General and the Secretary of Homeland Security, these two are the highlights. Before discussing the two ministers, let’s first popularize a cold knowledge – the United States does not have a unified police department at the federal level.
According to world practice, it is either the Department of Public Security, the Department of the Interior, or the Department of the Interior that holds police power. However, the United States does not have a Department of Public Security, and the Department of the Interior does not manage police, but rather land and indigenous peoples.
Considering the importance of police power, not mastering it is not feasible. So where is the police power in the United States?
The answer is three agencies: the Department of Justice, the Department of Homeland Security, and the Postal Administration.
Due to historical reasons, the United States still has tens of thousands of postal police, and the law enforcement power is not small. It can manage many cases that have nothing to do with postal services. Mr. Trump’s military adviser Ban Nong was arrested in 2020, charged with misappropriating the funds for the construction of the border wall.
It doesn’t seem to have anything to do with postal services, does it? However, it was the Postal Administration that took action.
The current director Louis DeJoey took office in June 2020. He is a member of the institutionalist group and has a close relationship with the Bush family. His term of office is up to nine years. Mr. Trump will damage the relationship with the institutionalist group if he gets rid of him.
Moreover, the difficulty is also high. The director is not appointed by the president, but is elected by an 11 member council. The president can only nominate members of the council, nine of whom must be current governors. As local lords, governors are not weak in strength.
So the voting result cannot be guaranteed, it’s better not to tear one’s face apart.
In the case of failing to grasp the post office, Mr. Trump must grasp the remaining two departments to master most of the police power, especially the Ministry of Justice. Why?
The US Attorney General is equivalent to our Attorney General, and the US Department of Justice is the superior of the FBI (Federal Bureau of Investigation), and the FBI Director reports to the Attorney General.
The Attorney General the final say the staffing and budget of the FBI, so it’s not difficult to make a difference. During Mr. Trump’s first term of office, even several ministers of justice were not his own people and suffered a great loss.
Therefore, the FBI dares to fabricate the “access to Russia” and conduct a false investigation. In 2022, it also copied the home of Haihu Manor. Therefore, Mr. Trump hates the FBI very much, and there are even calls within the Republican Party to abolish the FBI.
If the new term does not want to be messed up, the Ministry of Justice must be in the hands of the MAGA faction, with ability being secondary and loyalty being the most important.
Matt Gates’ family is a local lord, with his grandfather serving as the Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota and his father serving as the Speaker of the Florida Senate and currently holding the position of Florida Senator. Matt himself has served as a Florida Congressman for four consecutive terms.
After all, we have to fight against the FBI, so having no background is not enough.
Gates is still an iron MAGA, full of loyalty. In 2018, he defected to Mr. Trump. In 2023, the Speaker McCarthy was removed, which is the distrust motion initiated by Gates.
Although Joe Biden and Pelosi’s accidental downfall is the key, Matt Gates’ contribution cannot be denied. If he does not take the lead, how can there be subsequent events? It is worth rewarding to let him take charge of the Department of Justice, and the FBI will have good results.
However, it is difficult for his nomination to pass. The surface reason is that he has a criminal record as mentioned at the beginning, but the actual reason is that he is truly loyal. It will be difficult for him to engage in “collusion with Russia” again. In order to get the support of the pro establishment camp in the Senate, there will be some interest deals to be made.
The fourth place is the heaviest among all MAGA nominees: Christie Nome, the nominee for Secretary of Homeland Security.
Among the three agencies that hold police power, the Department of Homeland Security has the largest scale, with 240000 formal personnel and an annual budget exceeding $50 billion. It has two key agencies under its command:
Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Coast Guard.
If there is a large-scale deportation of illegal immigrants, the Department of Homeland Security cannot do without its own control, but this agency is the third largest federal agency, second only to the Secretary of Defense and the Department of Veterans Affairs.
Sending a MAGA young player is really difficult. It must be a senior politician, preferably with years of administrative experience.
The MAGA faction was only systematically cultivated after 2018. Until today, most of the supporters are congressmen, and few are senators like Vance. There is even less experience in local administration for many years. There was once a De Santis, but he flirted with the organic school. Mr. Trump was not very happy.
Having both senior administrative skills and not being too close to the pro establishment camp, there are not many people in the MAGA camp who meet the criteria, and Christie Nome is one of them.
She began her political career in 2010 and served as a member of the House of Representatives for eight years. She also served as the governor of South Dakota for two terms and signed a bill prohibiting LGBT participation in women’s sports, making her popular within the party and among the center.
Having been in politics for many years, with online achievements and no major scandals, Nome is much stronger than Congressman Matt Gates in terms of strength.
Originally, Mr. Trump’s favorite vice presidential candidate was Noam. But Norm had a brainless operation this year, saying in his published autobiography that he shot and killed one of his family’s dogs in order to exercise courage.
This event caused some controversy, which led to Mr. Trump’s failure to use her.
However, Norm’s ability cannot be denied. To manage the Department of Homeland Security can also be seen as Mr. Trump’s compensation for her. As Iron MAGA, her determination need not be doubted.
Next, the pro establishment camp.
03
There are two types of pro establishment factions: one is the pro establishment faction that leans towards MAGA and can be considered a semi MAGA faction, and the other is the pro establishment faction that is not too biased towards MAGA.
The representatives of the former are Environment Director nominee Lee Zeldin, Interior Secretary nominee Greg Bergum, Veterans Affairs Secretary nominee Collins, CIA Director nominee John Ratcliffe, and Energy Secretary nominee Wright.
Lee Zelding, a New York State Congressman, strongly opposed the extreme environmental claims of the Democratic Party. He voted against the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, citing that it contained too much environmental content.
Let him take charge of the Environmental Agency, clearly to disgust the Democratic Party. It is expected that during his term, law enforcement in the environmental field will be significantly relaxed;
Doug Bergum, born in 1956, has started many businesses. The most successful one was in the 1990s, when he founded an accounting software company that was later acquired by Microsoft and became a billionaire with assets exceeding billions of RMB.
After becoming wealthy, he entered politics and became the governor of North Dakota in 2016. He was re elected in 2020.
After Noam made a brainless move, Wang considered appointing Bogum as the vice presidential candidate. What he values is his stance of supporting both new and old energy, which will help win over the middle ground.
He has always served as the energy policy adviser of Mr. Trump. The outside world was expected to be the Minister of Energy. The reason why he became the Minister of the Interior is unknown, but the Ministry of the Interior manages mineral resources and is also connected with energy.
As the Minister of Energy, Chris Wright, the CEO of “Free Energy”, a oilfield service company, denies the existence of “climate change” and does not believe in the need for energy transition.
These views alone show how tough he is, and Mr. Trump agrees with him very much. There is no doubt that his Ministry of Energy will significantly increase investment in traditional energy, relax regulatory policies, and reduce investment in new energy.
CIA Director nominee Ratcliffe, a Texas Congressman who opposes collusion with Russia and impeachment, served as Director of National Intelligence in 2020.
At that time, Mr. Trump was besieged by the Democratic Party, and his heart was very angry, so he hit his head. Don’t you doubt that I can communicate with Russia? I also doubt that Obama can communicate with Russia. Check it out, check it out for me.
Ratcliffe was in charge of the investigation. Although nothing was found, he always insisted that Obama was connected to Russia, which satisfied Mr. Trump. This time, he partnered with Tulsi Gabad. If he cooperated well, the Democratic Party would have a drink.
The Secretary of Veterans Affairs nominated Humanitarian Grass Collins, who is also an organic faction biased towards MAGA. He once served as a senator of Georgia and became the legal adviser of Mr. Trump after 2021. He is one of the backbones of Mr. Trump’s circle.
Koch, the Republican big spender, has been trying to privatize some functions of the Department of Veterans Affairs in order to expand its own business, such as providing medical benefits to veterans, without going to official hospitals, directly outsourcing to Koch’s hospitals.
During the election period, Wang and Vance promised privatization, and Collins’ biggest concern is whether it will be implemented and to what extent it will be implemented.
After discussing the pro establishment camp that leans towards MAGA, the following is the representative figure of the pro establishment camp that is not too biased towards MAGA – Secretary of State nominee Rubio. Everyone knows how anti China Rubio is.
He was promoted by the Bush family. After the 2020 election, he did not support Mr. Trump. After a while, he made up with Mr. Trump again. Many MAGA professionals consider him a two faced and disloyal person.
But from the perspective of the traditional establishment, Rubio’s appointment as Secretary of State is equivalent to them getting a piece of the cake. At the same time, he advocates paying more attention to Latin America and investing more resources in Latin America in diplomacy.
This coincides with Mr. Trump’s “isolationism”. His coming to power means that Latin America will usher in a bloodbath.
Looking at the three factions of the defectors, MAGA, and the establishment, we will find that the defectors occupy relatively light positions, while the MAGA faction controls the police and military. The “semi MAGA faction” in the establishment faction is also divided into many departments, while the traditional establishment faction only has one Secretary of State.
The traditional establishment has the smallest number, which indirectly reflects the decline of this faction within the Republican Party.
Sharp eyed readers will find that there are still many key department heads pending so far, including the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Commerce, Ministry of Education, Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Labor, and Trade Representative.
Among them, the trade representative is more likely to be Leyte Heyzer. Even if he is not, he will also be a hawk. After all, adding tariffs to foreign countries and rebuilding high tariff barriers are Mr. Trump’s core propositions;
Regarding the candidate for Secretary of Education, there are reports that it is Colorado Congressman Lauren Boggett. Lauren Boggett’s educational level is junior high school and he did not graduate from high school.
Later, I obtained a high school diploma through correspondence.
If such a person were to manage the Ministry of Education, it would be a big joke. However, after careful investigation, I feel that this news is not very reliable. Currently, there is no definite information about the most popular candidate for the Minister of Education.
The reason is that this matter is significant.
We know that Mr. Trump hates the Democratic Party’s practice of forced sex change on campus. To end the absurd situation and fight the Democratic Party’s cultural war, the Minister of Education must have rich experience in education affairs and be tough.
It’s really hard to find.
It’s even harder to find a candidate for the Labor Minister. After all, Mr. Trump’s policy has always been capitalist oriented, and he doesn’t want to protect labor at all. If it weren’t for objective restrictions, he might even want to abolish the Labor Ministry.
There are also the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Commerce, and the Ministry of Agriculture. Except for the Ministry of Agriculture, which has relatively fewer interests and easier to find candidates, the other two ministries have too many interests involved.
Especially the Minister of Finance.
Over the past 20 years, the position of US Treasury Secretary has usually been held by people close to Wall Street. The Treasury Secretary Mnuqin who knew Wang’s first term had worked at Goldman Sachs for 17 years.
The finance minister of the second term, whether Mr. Trump is willing or not, probably has to find him from Wall Street.
Mr. Trump’s overall employment style this time highlights a loyalty. Those who can use MAGA will use MAGA, and those who can’t use MAGA will use half MAGA or defection.
The traditional establishment camp does not use it if possible. The advantage is that it can maintain internal consistency and facilitate policy implementation. The disadvantage is that it may result in many key positions still lacking accurate candidates.
The rise of the Red Neck has only been a few years, and overall it is still young with insufficient talent reserves.
And whether MAGA can form a synergy with people from other factions after obtaining numerous key positions is also a question. After all, in the eyes of many MAGA factions, they are the greatest contributors.
For example, after the news of Rubio’s nomination of Secretary of State was announced, many MAGA factions were very dissatisfied and felt that Rubio was a two faced man. In 2021, he did not support Mr. Trump. How could such a disloyal and dishonest person occupy the Secretary of State.
They are more supportive of former Ambassador to Germany Grenier as Secretary of State, Grenier is an iron MAGA.
It is hard to imagine that Mr. Trump can win this time without the support of the traditional institutionalists. Although they are in serious decline, they are in the same critical minority as Robert Kennedy Jr., who will win if they fall over.
During the election period, if all factions can maintain cooperation, but enter the stage of dividing the cake after winning, it is difficult to say whether the conflicts between them will intensify.
And whether Mr. Trump can suppress the contradictions of various factions and maintain cooperation will be the key to whether the United States can “become great again”.