According to multiple US media reports, the Republican Party has won 218 out of 435 seats in the US House of Representatives re-election, more than half, and will continue to control the House in the new Congress.

This not only allows Donald Trump’s tenure to avoid the possibility of being impeached by the House of Representatives, but also allows him to have greater operational space in legislation, finance, taxation and other aspects. (See also the article “The Unification of Five Powers, the Strongest in History?”)

But can Trump raise the banner of “America First” and promote “Trumpism” without any hindrance or restraint? The author believes that it may not be that simple yet!

As of now, the Republican Party has won 218 seats in the House of Representatives, the Democratic Party has won 209 seats, and there are still 8 seats with election results yet to be announced.

US media predicts that the Republican Party will ultimately gain 220-222 seats, although leading the Democratic Party, the advantage is extremely weak.

In addition, in 2025, there will be five Republican representatives who need to resign because of joining the Donald Trump administration cabinet. The Republican Party will hold a by election in the House of Representatives. After the by election, the number of Republican seats may be further reduced.

In January 2023, the Republican Party took control of the House of Representatives with a majority advantage, but due to the fierce competition between the two parties, the candidate nominated by the Republican Party did not receive enough votes to be elected Speaker until the 15th round of voting.

In less than 10 months, this’ difficult delivery speaker ‘was impeached by both Democratic and some Republican lawmakers, becoming the first speaker in American history to be impeached and removed from office, allowing the world to witness an’ American joke ‘.

Therefore, the Republican Party only has a slight lead in the House of Representatives, which is not enough to ensure an absolute advantage over the Democratic Party. When encountering controversial issues, if the Democratic Party secretly acts to divide and win over several Republican lawmakers, there will be an opportunity to take advantage.

There are still opposing voices within the Republican Party.
At present, although Donald Trump is dominant in the Republican Party, basically cleaning up the opposition forces in the party, there is still a clear gap between him and the party.
Among the Republican members of the House of Representatives, there are still many members from the party’s institutional groups. They have long been dissatisfied with Donald Trump’s political cleansing of removing dissent and cracking down on institutional groups. It is not impossible to cooperate with the Democratic Party in the House of Representatives in the future.
After all, during Trump’s first term, there were serious divisions within the Republican Party on issues such as tax reform bills, and shortcomings in handling racial issues and police reform also caused dissatisfaction and disappointment among voters.
Finally, during the 2018 mid-term elections, Donald Trump watched helplessly as the Democratic Party regained control of the House of Representatives.
Looking back at the history after the end of World War II, the political party to which the US president belongs lost an average of 25 seats in the midterm elections. The more radical the ruling party’s governance, the sharper the internal conflicts, the greater the public backlash, and the greater the possibility of the opposition party regaining control of the House of Representatives.
Therefore, Mr. Trump’s desire to monopolize power and smooth administration in the current extremely torn and complex political environment in the United States is not as simple as shouting slogans like MAGA.